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Seznam forumov  >  Borza  >  Ali je Kitajska mehurček

Prikazujem objavo s številko 3462 v temi Ali je Kitajska mehurček

#3462 (odg: #3448 )  31.01.07 13:41  _RMarchant

Well... a price/earnings of 36 is indeed very high. Under normal circumstances a P/E should be around 20. Of course we also need to keep in mind that the price in the equation includes future expected earnings (current market prices are used), while the earnings in the equation are the most recently released earnings which do NOT include future expectations.

So the real question is: are earnings expectations too high for China? If they are, then indeed we could be dealing with a bubble here and governement intervention could occur through taxation of capital gains on investments for example. It's the speculation on governement intervention that made the market tumble yesterday, not just the high P/E because the P/E has been high for quite some time already. You can more or less compare it with the recent unexpected decisions in Thailand on taxation of capital gains and restrictions on owning a majority stake in domestic companies.

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